Briefing From Bruce – July 2026

While researching this month’s newsletter, I came across a story titled, “Forget the ‘Sell America’ trade: Why U.S. markets keep proving the naysayers wrong. Foreign investors are still pouring money into U.S. assets, and the dollar remains the undisputed global reserve currency.”

Key points from the story include:

• Underscoring confidence, over $1.4 trillion flowed into U.S. assets from overseas investors during the first four months of the year.
• The dollar remains the world’s reserve currency despite a 3% decline in central-bank reserves since late 2020.
• 200 years of stability, vast natural resources, a large domestic market, and pro-business laws underpin U.S. economic success.

As of June 22, the market capitalization of the U.S. stock market totaled $81 trillion, according to Deutsche Bank and Bloomberg. China is a distant second at $16 trillion, followed by Japan at $9 trillion. Even China stands in the shadow of just seven fast-growing U.S. firms—the so-called Magnificent Seven—with a combined market capitalization of $22 trillion.

With the recent July 4th celebration of the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence in view, a record-setting market, and a steady influx of foreign capital into the U.S., the story is especially timely.

Key Index Returns
	June 2026 %	YTD %
Dow Jones Industrial Average	2.5	8.9
Nasdaq Composite	-2.8	12.8
S&P 500 Index	-1.1	9.6
Russell 2000 Index	3.6	21.9
MSCI World ex-USA**	-0.3	7.6
MSCI Emerging Markets**	-1.7	22.7
Bloomberg US Agg Total Return	0.2	0.6

Source: Wall Street Journal, MSCI.com, Bloomberg, MarketWatch
MTD returns: May 29, 2026—June 30, 2026
YTD returns: December 31, 2025–June 30, 2026
**in US dollars

Despite many challenges, it invites a closer look at why the United States continues to hold such a dominant position in the global financial system.

American exceptionalism

The “buy America” (or U.S.-centric investing) trade has been powerful over the last 100+ years because the U.S. has combined economic scale, institutional strength, innovation, abundant natural resources, and financial market depth in a way no other modern country has consistently matched.

Let’s review some of the factors that have contributed to U.S. leadership and dominance.

1. Led by strong population growth, productivity, immigration, human capital, and abundant natural resources, the U.S. has been one of the largest economies since the late 19th century and the largest for much of the 20th and 21st centuries.
2. The U.S. is widely considered to have the most transparent and legally protected capital markets in the world. Such protections—including the rule of law and property rights—bolster global confidence in U.S. markets.
3. Three separate branches of government—so cleverly enshrined in the Constitution—help prevent power from concentrating in the hands of a few, thereby protecting liberties that many here take for granted, yet that have drawn immigrants for generations.
4. The S. has dominated in innovation. Industrialization, aerospace and manufacturing, computers, software, biotech, the internet, the cloud, and now AI. Undoubtedly, other countries have made various products cheaper, but the nation’s ability to innovate and lead in technology has created massive wealth and numerous jobs.
5. Deep, liquid capital markets, combined with the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency, consistently attract foreign capital to the United States. This dynamic encourages overseas investors not only to park funds in U.S. assets but also to commit to long-term investments.

However, there is an important caveat. The seemingly unlimited demand for U.S. assets and Treasury bonds has also enabled the country to run persistently large fiscal and current account deficits with relatively little immediate consequence.

6. Political and military stability, the rule of law, and a strong democracyhave given rise to stable and strong institutions that bolster confidence at home and abroad.

Compared with Europe and many emerging markets, the U.S. avoided the devastation of a world war on its own soil, regime collapses, and hyperinflation.

7. A pro-business environment and a shareholder-centric corporate modelencourage ownership. The goal of a corporation and its management is to maximize shareholder wealth. It’s a principle that has come under attack, but it has been beneficial to investors.

It’s embodied in an entrepreneurial culture, a strong venture capital system, stock-based compensation, stock buybacks, cash dividends, and a desire to maximize corporate profits.

Prioritizing wealth creation supports healthy competition, innovation, consumer choice, and job creation.

8. Equally important, though often underappreciated, is the strength of the nation’s higher education system.

American universities attract many of the world’s top students, researchers, and entrepreneurs, creating a steady pipeline of talent that fuels innovation and the formation of new companies.

This diversity of talent reinforces the U.S. advantage in technology, science, and business leadership, which ultimately feeds into corporate earnings, wealth creation, and market performance.

Despite numerous advantages, America’s markets are not on autopilot. We expect periodic pullbacks, bear markets, and periods of underperformance.

America the beautiful

While our country is far from perfect and our founders were flawed, America truly has been a grand experiment that has become the envy of the world.

Foreign visitors to the FIFA World Cup are getting a first-hand look at our country, without filters, and are singing the nation’s praises.

This Independence Day is extra special.

We celebrate the 250th anniversary of our nation’s birthday, a milestone known as the Semi quincentennial. It doesn’t roll off the tongue as the Bicentennial did 50 years ago, but its importance can’t be understated.

It is marked by the Second Continental Congress’ adoption of the Declaration of Independence, which declared our independence from Great Britain. Though written in a very different era, it remains a powerful symbol of the nation’s identity.

The Declaration did far more than announce a political separation; it articulated a bold vision of freedom, liberty, and self-governance that continues to resonate across the globe.

Drafted primarily by Thomas Jefferson and adopted on July 4, 1776, the document proclaims that “…all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness.”

These words heralded a new way of thinking, breaking decisively from the traditions of monarchy and empire and laying the groundwork for a philosophy that continues to inspire people today.

The Semi quincentennial invites both celebration and reflection. It is a chance to appreciate the courage and bold vision of our founders while recognizing the ongoing work required to realize the ideals that they gave birth to.

As fireworks light the sky, we celebrate not only America’s past but also its future. The challenges are real, but so are the opportunities. The same spirit of optimism and determination that carried the nation through its first 250 years remains alive today.

Happy 250th birthday, America! May the next chapter be as bold, innovative, and inspiring as the last.

Navigating caregiving: Practical ideas for a complex role

In 2025, about 63 million American adults were providing ongoing care for a child or another adult with a medical condition or disability, according to AARP’s Caregiving in the U.S. Research Report. That is nearly one in four adults nationwide, and it’s a significant 45% increase since the Caregiving in the U.S. study was last conducted by AARP in 2015.

Of those caregivers, roughly 59 million are supporting an adult with a complex medical condition or disability.

Here are the key findings in the report.

The average caregiver is 51 years old, with women accounting for most of the caregivers (61%).

Many receiving care are older, with nearly half aged 75 or older. Most of these older adults face multiple chronic health conditions, including age-related decline, mobility limitations, cancer, and postsurgical recovery.

Most caregivers live with their care recipient (40%) or nearby (35%).

Nearly half of caregivers report at least one negative financial impact due to their responsibilities. One-third of caregivers have stopped saving money, and one-quarter have used up short-term savings.

So, if you find yourself in the role of a caregiver, how do you cope financially?

Ask your employer about various options and financial benefits.

1. Consider the Family Medical Leave Act (FMLA).According to the Department of Labor, the FMLA entitles eligible employees of covered employers to take unpaid, job-protected leave for qualifying family and medical reasons. FMLA requires continuation of group health benefits under the same terms and conditions as if the employee had not taken leave.

Eligible employees can take up to 12 weeks in a 12-month period to care for an employee’s spouse, child, or parent with a serious health condition. You may take off 26 weeks per year if you are caring for members of the military.

Some states allow for additional protections.

Further, Paid Family and Medical Leave (PFML) is available in 13 states. PFML provides eligible employees with pay and job-protected leave while they take time off for caregiving.

2. Explore the possibility of working part-time, working from home, or a flexible arrangement, such as a hybrid mix of on-site and remote responsibilities. Many employers want to accommodate employees with special requirements.

But it’s up to you to advocate for yourself. Approach your employer and discuss the options that are available to you.

3. Do you have access to an Employee Assistance Program (EAP)at your place of employment? Many mid-sized and large companies offer them.

What is an EAP? An EAP is a voluntary, work-based program that offers free and confidential assessments, short-term counseling, referrals, and follow-up services to employees who have personal and/or work-related problems.

An EAP can offer financial and legal consultations, counseling, elder care resources and referrals, stress management tools, and more.

Whether through an Employee Assistance Program (EAP) or other employer-sponsored services, employers can help connect you with community-based resources, assist with enrollment in government benefit programs, support appeals processes, provide financial aid guidance, and advocate for access to available services and benefits.

4. You’ve accumulated vacation and sick leave, and so have your colleagues. Does your company allow employees to donate paid time off (PTO or leave-sharing programs)to other employees? If so, you may consider asking others to donate a small percentage of their PTO so you may care for a loved one.

Whether through a direct transfer or a ‘leave bank,’ these programs have been created to support employees in need while bolstering workplace morale and ensuring fairness.

Providing care is often a full-time responsibility in itself. That makes it difficult to balance with full- or part-time employment, whether an employee works remotely, on-site, or in a hybrid arrangement.

By accessing caregiver support benefits, employees can begin to secure the resources, support, and assistance they need to manage caregiving responsibilities more effectively.

This support reduces stress and helps employees stay focused and productive at work while managing their financial and emotional well-being.

I trust you found this review to be insightful. If you have any questions or simply want to talk through your portfolio or other financial goals, please don’t hesitate to reach out to me or anyone on our team.

journey.